June 04, 2324 8:50 pm

Geopolitical Developments

The Purpose Of Tariffs, Airstrikes In Yemen, And Experience-Driven Solutions. Your weekly All-Ways round-up of Supply Chain news.
From Taxes to Trade Realignment
Critics argue that tariffs are essentially taxes, disproportionately impacting lower-income families who spend more on inexpensive imported goods. Despite this, the main issue may not be who pays these tariffs, but their purpose.

The tariffs on China, maintained by President Biden and potentially increased by former President Trump if re-elected, aim to reduce U.S. dependence on a potential adversary, differentiating them from typical revenue-raising taxes.

Historically, U.S. tariff policy has evolved through three phases: from revenue generation (independence to Civil War), to restriction (Civil War to Great Depression), and finally reciprocity (post-1934).

The current phase under Trump and Biden involves realignment, focusing on diversifying U.S. trade away from China due to concerns over China's economic dominance and potential security threats.

While tariffs have raised costs for U.S. importers, these costs are not always passed on to consumers. Nonetheless, past import surges from China have lowered prices for consumers but displaced American workers, suggesting that tariffs might now harm those same consumers through higher prices.

Deadly Airstrikes in Yemen
Houthi militants claimed that the US and UK airstrikes in Yemen resulted in the deaths of at least 16 people, marking the deadliest assault on the group since January.

In response, the Houthis reportedly targeted a US aircraft carrier, although there was no attack on or near the ship.

The US and UK militaries targeted 13 Houthi locations, with the Houthis alleging civilian casualties in the port city of Hodeida and other areas. The US military stated that they destroyed eight unmanned aerial vehicles in Houthi-controlled areas, citing them as a threat to US and coalition forces and merchant vessels in the region.

The ongoing Houthi attacks in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden have disrupted global trade, leading to increased shipping costs.

The Houthis have pledged to continue their attacks in solidarity with Palestinians amid the conflict with Israel, while international calls have been made for Israel to halt its operations in Gaza or take measures to protect civilians.

Success Despite Setbacks
US importers and exporters in the automobile and auto parts industry are facing new challenges in 2024 after navigating through the supply chain disruptions of 2020-22.

Despite security concerns in the Red Sea, draft restrictions through the Panama Canal, and the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore, the industry seems prepared to handle them, drawing from past experiences.

While global light vehicle production is forecasted to decrease slightly, US production is expected to rise. Containerized auto and parts imports have rebounded in the first quarter of 2024.

Although disruptions are expected due to canal conditions and geopolitical tensions, alternatives exist for East Coast automobile gateways.

However, importers of containerized auto parts and components will continue to grapple with ongoing issues at ports and rail ramps, including carrier charges and uncertainties in supply chains.

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